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Goaltending an enigma in Lightning solid start

Despite Dan Ellis' and Mike Smith's combined 4-1 record, the Lightning goaltending situation has not been as strong as Bolts fans would hope (Photo by Bruce Bennett/Getty Images)

It's really early, but I got a kick out of seeing the SB Nation power rankings for this week and how my fellow blog managers rated the Lightning rather high in the east. That was the highest ranking the Lightning have achieved since the start of SB Nation hockey started recording power rankings.

Despite the accomplishment, and the team humming along to a 4-1-0 record to start the season, the description of why the Bolts were rated so high made me do a double take:

Tampa Bay, with their ridiculously high-powered offense and solid goaltending tandem, could actually be the real deal.

"Solid goaltending"?

In a short blurb in this morning's St. Petersburg Times, Damian Cristodero shows us (through a flash of stats) that the Lightning have been winning in spite of questions in net.

Mike Smith is 3-0-0 for the first time in his career, but his 3.41 goals-against average entered Tuesday tied for 32nd among 38 goalies the NHL lists. Dan Ellis' 4.00 goals-against average was 37th. Smith's .869 save percentage was tied for 34th. Ellis' .878 was 33rd.

Look at it this way: The Lightning dominated the 2nd period of Monday night's win against the Dallas Stars, out shooting them 20-3. Yet, those 3 shots recorded on the Bolts net resulted in a goal. That's a .667 save percentage. Smith ended the game with a .789 save percentage. 19 shots, 15 saves.

The Lightning offense can pepper opponents with 30, 40, or even 50 shots on goal nightly, but it's imperative that the team's own netminders make stops they have to, even when facing less than 20 shots a game. I'm not talking acrobatics and stand-on-your-head, lights-out efforts every game... But the routine saves must to happen. Likewise, the defense can't make mental errors, or it hangs the goalies out to dry (which was the case on Saturday night in Sunrise).

Of course, speaking of that ill -fated Panthers game, it's crucial that the defense in front of the Lightning net make the plays they have to as well. And lapses in the offensive blue line need to be at a minimum, or spectacles like this happen:

We wait to see which goalie, Smith or Ellis, will rise to the challenge. Both have had their good and bad moments, but neither have looked spectacular. It's also important to give a glance toward Norfolk and acknowledge Cedrick Desjardins waiting in the wings. Desjardins, an AHL veteran who excelled under Guy Boucher last season in Hamilton (29-9-4, .919 save percentage, 2.00 GAA), has yet to make his NHL debut.  He's 1-0 for the Admirals this season, posting a shutout last Friday and making 29 saves.

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Speaking of stats...

I can’t find certain stats on the Lightning that I can find for other teams. It would be awesome if we as peers in the cloud and members of Rawcharge maintained a stats database on the Lightning that tracked such things. It would have to be a community effort, and at first it would likely be largely incomplete, but over time as a work in progress could turn into something rather useful. I realize some of these are subjective, but as long as there’s some consistency it all washes out. If there’s interest and volunteers, I’ll start the effort by developing an Android client for recording stats to the database. I could even host a MySQL database server for it.

Stats I would like to see on the Lightning and its players:
Time spent in the defensive zone.
Time spent in the offensive zone.
Defensive zone forced takeaways.
Defensive zone giveaways.
Offensive zone forced takeaways.
Offensive zone giveaways.
Pucks carried offside.
Times caught offside.
Icings negated (caught/prevented).
Icings caused.
Penalty kill clears.
Penalties drawn.

by tankerkevo on Oct 20, 2010 6:48 PM EDT reply actions  

Still issues

Like everyone else I’m worried about the goaltending. However, despite better overall play from the defense, their d-zone play has been rather weak at times. Puck movement has improve 1000% from last year, but I’ve seen a lot of unforced giveaways and a lack of the ability or desire to physically remove an opponent from the puck. I thought Matt Smaby brought some of that monday and I believe he’ll get the nod again tomorrow. Hedman and Kubina could both benefit us with a little more physical play. It may be too much to ask the hybrid d-men like Jones, Lundin and Vernace to bring a little more sandpaper. Getting Ohlund back will be huge, if and when it happens as it bumpseveryone except Hedman and Kubina down a notch on the depth chart and in ice time. Having one puck mover and 1 physical defender on each pairing would be ideal, Chicago used that formula to great success last season. With the exception of the Panthers game our forward defense has been much better and by extension the penalty kill. If the goaltending continues to be questionable, there will be 4-5 goalies available at the deadline that could improve our chances without breaking the bank long term.

Don in St Pete

by Don in St Pete on Oct 20, 2010 7:44 PM EDT reply actions  

Concerning, but not apocryphal

Caveat Emptor: I am not a Mike Smith fan. I find him too unpredictable and too streaky to be a bona fide #1.

Point 1. Dan Ellis had a rough start in Tampa. That aside, I think he’s a better goalie than that for which he’s being given credit. Ellis played pretty well, I thought, against Philly. In particular he was sharp on Richards’ breakaway and several plays near the crease. Before the emergence of Rinne, Ellis was good in Nashville—good enough for Nashville to hand him the starting job when Chris Mason faltered (after Vokoun went to the Panthers). In Ellis’ defense he hasn’t played in a game (before the two starts he’s had) in quite some time.

Point 2. Both Ellis and Smith are being coached by a new goalie coach, with different theories and teaching methods. It will take time to get used to the new relationships.

Ultimately, I think the play of the goalies will improve—but it’s a good thing we’re scoring as much as we are (except, of course, the game in Sunrise). Finally, I echo Don’s hope of a deadline pickup for a #1 netminder.

by MTBoltFan on Oct 20, 2010 8:29 PM EDT reply actions  

Smitty

It’s a good thing I exercise so much because watching Mike Smith unnecessarily try to handle every loose puck like he is Wayne Gretzky would have my blood pressure sky high. Either tether him to the net or don’t play him anymore. He creates scoring chances that shouldn’t be there. I want to be a Smitty fan, I really do but he makes it so tough.

by CoachZilla on Oct 21, 2010 5:57 AM EDT reply actions  

desjardins

I think we should give him a chance and sit Smith for a game. I don’t think people realize how good this guy really is. I don’t care if its the AHL. 29-9-4 is a great record and he knows how to play in Boucher’s system.

by TomK91 on Oct 21, 2010 11:11 AM EDT reply actions  

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