The Nabokov talk
We have goalie issues. The stats don't lie, nor do the catcalls subside with the team eking out wins. Solutions that have been pitched between fans and other bloggers have been either brushed off, dismissed, or disproved when everyone brings up certain angles. There's been a level of panic among the faithful as we've watched the Lightning crease become a running joke.
Then a funny thing happened on the other side of the world.
This summer you may have caught the news that Evgeni Nabokov signed in the KHL to a lucrative deal. The 35-year-old netminder won the Calder award for best rookie in 2000-2001, and he was largely a steady hand for the Sharks in his time with the team.
Why he wasn't signed to an NHL deal, I don't know. Demanding too much? Expecting too much? Or perhaps he just wanted to go home... Whatever the case, Evgeni signed in the KHL...
....and his family have not enjoyed the experience in Russia.
Nabokov has had his contract terminated and seems to be poised to come back to North America.
Nike Kypreos tweeted earlier this afternoon:
#NHL Agent Don Meehan told us on Hockeycentral @ noon, he's spoken to #Lightning regarding Nabokov. He would need to clear waivers first.
Lets talk about the potential here for a bit...
I said Nabokov has been a steady hand with the Sharks, and I will let you judge his stats for yourself. A career sub-2.40 GAA and a .912 save percentage for his career. While the tandem of Dan Ellis have respectable career numbers, it's impossible to overlook the Smellis tandem's .874 save percentage this season, and 3.40 goals-against average. The tandem has been giving up an average of 1.5 goals per period the past 8 games for the Lightning.
Now, there's the knee-jerk reaction that anything is better than staying the course with Smith and Ellis... And in that light, the Bolts exploring Nabokov makes unquestionable sense.
But then you have to start wondering about numbers and logistics: How much would it take for the Lightning to sign Nabokov? How long would he want to be under contract? Those two numbers weigh heavily on the fact the Lightning are already in contract talks with Steven Stamkos -- and that anything long-term will affect what they can offer Steven.
Then there's the waiver thing that Kypreos quote touches on. Evgeni could sign with the Lightning in the next five minutes -- he still would become available to all 29 other franchises as a waiver claim. This would take some creativity to get around, either contractually or with a transaction involving another team that would allow the Bolts to get Nabokov.
Lastly, and this has been brought up by others via Twitter, what happens to the "odd man out" in Tampa? I don't think there is a question right now that Mike Smith would pass untouched through waivers. He's the guy on the final year of his contract, but is also making the most of the two goalies on the Lightning roster right now.
This does cloud and complicate the goalie picture in Norfolk though. A complication that the Lightning may not want. Loaning Smith to another AHL club for the remainder of the season (or Tokarski, or Desjardins -- this does not forfeit the rights to the player) would also be a possibility in order to clear out the temporary backlog of goaltenders in Norfolk.
All this just amounts to speculation on my part right now... Taking a bit of news, and a bit of reported news and seeing where and why... If nothing happens, this still could be enough to push Smith and Ellis to raise their game. I'm just not certain that will happen. They'd been put on notice already and not much has changed.
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The whole idea of Nabokov playing for Tampa Bay just reinforces my belief that they were mistaken in letting Niittymaki go. Who took Nabokov’s spot in San Jose? Why, yes, that would be Niittymaki.
The other thing that might’ve bolstered up Nabokov’s stats is the fact that he had a more cohesive defensive group in front of him during his years in San Jose than Smith or Ellis have had in Tampa Bay. I’m not sure that Nabokov would be much of an improvement if the defense hasn’t figured out Boucher’s system. Probably he would be, but not necessarily by much.
Vinny, and Marty, and Steven, and Simon - oh my!
Raw Charge, an SBN Tampa Bay Lightning community. Follow me on Twitter: @dagmar27.
by Cassie McClellan on Dec 14, 2010 2:41 PM EST reply actions
Copy correction
I must admit, I am lousy with Russian names. I spelled Evgeni’s last name “Nabakov” when it’s spelled NABOKOV.
Stamkosis-91 -- the virus is spreading wide and fast in 2010-11
Raw Charge.
Heh. I didn’t even notice. So much for being observant. :oD
Vinny, and Marty, and Steven, and Simon - oh my!
Raw Charge, an SBN Tampa Bay Lightning community. Follow me on Twitter: @dagmar27.
by Cassie McClellan on Dec 14, 2010 3:02 PM EST up reply actions
Even if
Even if we signed him (which I’m not suggesting is a given or even a good idea) what would the team do then?
We would have essentially 6 goaltenders (3 established pros and 3 “prospects” on the cusp, more or less, of significant NHL experience) and few options. I consider Smitty and Ellis untradable. Their collective stock has dropped to Enron-esque levels. Additionally, Smitty’s in the last year of his contract, and is not worth “renting” for any team in the league. Ellis is more attractive, salary-wise, but has another year on his deal.
So what to do? Working with the assumption the Bolts sign Nabbie, we wouldn’t sign him to play in the AHL. That means Smitty or Elly would get sent to Norfolk. I think Smitty would be the choice in this hypothetical model because of his poor play and contract situation. Assuming no one claims him in the waiver process (and what club would pick up a soon-to-be free agent goalie making $2.5M?), he’d go to Norfolk.
The problem with Norfolk is they’ve already got two solid goalies with bright futures. Desjardins, who the Admirals staff say is already “NHL ready,” and Tokarski who’s already impressed many with his play with the “big club” in Tampa. With Smitty’s arrival, there would be “one too many chefs in the kitchen.” Because Desjardins is the current #1 in Norfolk, it is conceivable Tokarski could go to the Everblades, ala Janus.
Think about that: Tokarski to the Everblades. I don’t like that at all.
In the end, Nabbie would be a marginal improvement in the goaltending stable for the Bolts, but it would cost us valuable development time for our young goaltending talent (and whomever was sent to the Everblades would not likely have too high an opinion about continuing their service with the Bolts in the future).
As I suggested in the post, lend one of the goalies in Norfolk out to another team. Yes, you are allowed to “Loan” players. Be it Smith, be it Tokarski, be it Desjardins. That keeps them in the AHL level of competition, that also retains their rights.
Stamkosis-91 -- the virus is spreading wide and fast in 2010-11
Raw Charge.
by John Fontana on Dec 14, 2010 4:22 PM EST up reply actions
still think we could package deal smith and another player for a pick.
then that money comes off our books.
my brother had said we could sign nabby to a 4 mill dollar deal and since the season is already started we would only have to pay part of it. and anyone willing to get him on waivers wouldnt want to pay 2 mill a year for him so then we would get him. i believe we have the lowest points of washington, chicago and us and those would probably be the three top choices and they both have cap issues while we have 10 million in space. i would say loan smith/waiver/trade him in a package deal. leave ellis as the backup for this year and then either buy him out or trade him after this yr and bring up desjardins to backup nabby next year. or even put ellis as the starter in norfolk to help out tokarski he looked pretty shaky last year.

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