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Look before you leap: A couple of things to think about before jumping off the Lightning bandwagon

It's safe to say that the vast majority of us in the extended Tampa Bay Lightning family will not be in Ottawa this weekend, meaning we'll be focusing mostly on the break part of the All-Star break. Breaks in any endeavor are designed for you to stop, rest, get your bearings, re-assess your plans and go forward. If during this break, your re-assessment of plans doesn't include going forward with the Lightning, I'm here to tell you so long and good luck.

I honestly do so without malice or rancor. Look, passionately devoting yourself to a favorite team can be difficult. It requires demands on your time, emotions and bank account that can be strenuous. Especially if you're expecting some kind of return on those investments that may not be immediately forthcoming.

It's a busy world out there with lots of things going on to occupy our attention. I fully understand your predicament. Being a die-hard sports fan isn't for everyone. There's a reason bandwagons are slow-moving, low-to-the-ground conveyances; they're easy to get on and off of. If you feel like you need to get off of this one, even if you just climbed on less than a year ago, I say go in good health, no questions asked, no hard feelings and we'll happily welcome you back if you're so inclined in the future. I would just ask you to make sure you're not doing it because of undue influence from some of those in the media.

Star-divide

It's not my intent to disparage those people as one big group of self-important blowhards. For the most part, they do fine work in providing good information and quality entertainment, but they don't know everything (hint: the more someone tries to convince you that they do, the more you should be suspicious of them; this is actually pretty good advice for dealing with everyone, not just the sports media). It's just that I would hate to see you make a decision you might regret entirely for the wrong reason(s). Those reasons include:

THEY'RE JUST LIKE THE BUCS – There are a lot of parallels being drawn between the most recent incarnations of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Tampa Bay Lightning. Both teams featured young rosters led by young coaches at the helm of their first major league coaching job that struggled to repeat the surprisingly good results their previous seasons had yielded. Those similar circumstances aside, the two situations are as comparable as the proverbial apples and oranges.

Where the management of the Buccaneers had decided that their roster was good as is and was content to more or less stand pat, Lightning general manager Steve Yzerman spent last offseason scrambling just to fill a complete roster. It was a summer-long (a short summer, at that) juggling act, allocating the limited resources at his disposal to retain as many players as possible (not the least of whom was a young, skilled forward you may have heard of named Steven Stamkos) and attempting to find suitable replacements for those who left. It certainly hasn't worked out as hoped, but it hasn't been for lack of effort, on anyone's part.

LAST YEAR WAS A FLUKE; SAME OLD TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING – This one you're far less likely to read or hear in the media than you are to get from a neighbor or co-worker. First of all, I don't believe it's possible for a team to "fluke" it's way deep into the playoffs. I'm (selectively) an optimist, so I'd prefer to look at last year as a sign of things to come. I'd also prefer to look at last year as over. Different time, different team. More importantly, there should be no question whatsoever that this organization is committed to doing things the right way and I doubt the ability of anybody who suggests otherwise to make a case.

This isn't to imply that Lightning management is perfect, that mistakes won't be made and that they're above criticism. It's merely pointing out that for possibly the first time in the history of the franchise, consideration is being paid to a bigger picture than what is happening on the ice (and the turnstiles) at that exact given moment. The days of making rash, impulsive decisions are over. It doesn't mean that every decision will be correct. It also doesn't mean that gambles won't be taken, some of which won't work out.

It means that risks will be calculated with attention paid to the ramifications of reward versus failure. It means that concern over the depth of players on the roster extends beyond the 2011-12 season and the Tampa city limits. It also means asinine conjecture like whether or not to replace a 40-year-old coach a year and a half into his tenure (whose career record is still well above .500, in spite of the team's performance this year) doesn't even merit discussion.

IT'S OVER; THEY'RE OUT OF IT – I have never entirely understood the rush by pundits to proclaim ultimate victory or defeat while the competition is still taking place. I guess there's some sort of smug satisfaction and a presumed boost in credibility from being able to say, "I was right and I was first!" Except what if it doesn't happen that way and you're neither?

If comparing the Bucs and Lightning is comparing apples and oranges, then comparing the Rays to the Bolts is comparing apples to some kind of weird green thing covered in fur that might be some kind of banana…but still, look at what happened with the 2011 Rays. Part of the reason we love the world of sports is that it's a place where things that can't happen actually happen all the time. Plus, who cares who was first? Who wants to hang out with the guy who spoils the fun by telling everybody the party is over while the music is still playing?

In closing, if you feel that for whatever reason you just can't find it in you to support this team right now the way you did last year, it's okay. Just know that there are very good, logical reasons to believe that things are going to get better sooner than later and you're running the risk of missing some cool stuff that might happen between now and then. So make your decision with care and we’ll respect whatever choice you make…unless you go off and root for some other team. Because bandwagon fans are one thing, but frontrunners are true lowlifes.

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Speaking to the first two points, I totally agree

people forget that old teams sometimes get worse over the summer too.

On the third point, I think it’s just depressing to keep having people say “we’re still in it! we’re still in it!” and get your hopes up when the fact is that it would take a comeback heretofore unseen in the NHL

If I cared more about my UNC side, I'd call myself "Tar Volon," and that'd be awesome.
Bolts, Canes, Preds (now in different conferences!). Canes mini-STH. Southern hockey solidarity
Rocky Top Talk

by Incipient_Senescence on Jan 27, 2012 8:16 PM EST reply actions  

(not that that means you should stop watching

it’s just a reasoning for people to proclaim defeat)

If I cared more about my UNC side, I'd call myself "Tar Volon," and that'd be awesome.
Bolts, Canes, Preds (now in different conferences!). Canes mini-STH. Southern hockey solidarity
Rocky Top Talk

by Incipient_Senescence on Jan 27, 2012 8:16 PM EST up reply actions  

Not true..

Don’t you remember this comment below? Posted by MTBoltFan on Thursday.

‘09-’10 Flyers: midseason record: 19-19-3, 41 pts, finished 41-35-6, 88 pts, seventh place
‘09-’10 Canadiens: midseason record: 19-19-3, 41 pts, finished 39-33-10, 88 pts, eighth place
‘10-’11 Sabres: midseason record: 18-18-5, 41 pts, finished 43-29-10, 96 pts, seventh place
‘05-’06 Devils: midseason record: 18-18-5, 41 pts, finished: 46-27-9, 101 pts, third place
‘06-’07 Lightning: midseason record: 19-20-2, 40 pts, finished: 44-33-5, 93 pts, seventh place
‘08-’09 Blues: midseason record: 16-22-3, 35 pts, finished: 41-31-10, 92 pts, sixth place
‘07-’08 Capitals: midseason record: 15-21-5, 35 pts, finished: 43-31-8, 94 pts, third place

"WINGnut--BOLThead"
Let's GO..Wings, Tigers, Lions, Wolverines (oh my!) & Bolts!!!! (RIP Cory Smoot aka Flattus Maximus of GWAR)

by Let's JOE WINGS-BOLTS on Jan 28, 2012 4:59 PM EST up reply actions  

completely true

did you read my reply?


never been done. Or at least never been done since we got rid of ties. Nobody’s come back from as far as we’re back right now. Not any of those teams you listed. Not anybody. The ‘09 Blues are the only ones who made the playoffs after a start as poor as ours (they were 19-23-4 at this point, two points behind our pace), but the current Leafs record (9th place in the East) would’ve put them in 5th place in the ’09 Western Conference. Which is to say, although the Blues record was worse than ours, they were chasing a bunch of teams whose records are much, much worse than Florida, Washington, Toronto, and Winnipeg.

That ‘08 Washington team that was so bad at the halfway point? They’d moved above .500 and gotten within two points of the division lead by the end of January.

If I cared more about my UNC side, I'd call myself "Tar Volon," and that'd be awesome.
Bolts, Canes, Preds (now in different conferences!). Canes mini-STH. Southern hockey solidarity
Rocky Top Talk

by Incipient_Senescence on Jan 28, 2012 6:03 PM EST up reply actions  

Oh, I'm not saying it's gonna happen...

…I’m just reserving the right to not feel like a jackass if it does.

by Clark J Brooks on Jan 27, 2012 10:59 PM EST reply actions  

oh, if it does

trust me, I’ll be too busy celebrating to feel like a jackass

If I cared more about my UNC side, I'd call myself "Tar Volon," and that'd be awesome.
Bolts, Canes, Preds (now in different conferences!). Canes mini-STH. Southern hockey solidarity
Rocky Top Talk

by Incipient_Senescence on Jan 28, 2012 12:08 AM EST up reply actions  

Can I sign up for that, too?

Please?

"Freedom is the freedom to say two plus two equals four. If that is granted all else will follow."
- Smith in Orwell's 1984

by MTBoltFan on Jan 29, 2012 8:59 PM EST up reply actions  

Go BOLTS!

Losing a couple top 6 forwards in the off-season, plus injuries to Ohlund and Hedman are too much for these guys to bear over the 1st half. They are looking better lately, just need to get better goaltending. Rolie’s magic seems to have disappeared in the summer… I don’t know if I am rooting for an 8 seed in the playoffs, or a Top 3 draft pick! Whatever happens, this team has so much young talent, that it will have a successful future and Boucher is a rock solid coach that I have extreme confidence in. I think the organization is not going to give up on him either. he is the real deal. Just a bump in the road, a few “fans” might get thrown temporarily, but make sure to keep your seat saved!

by Tim Z on Jan 27, 2012 11:58 PM EST reply actions  

Another excellent post, Clark!

You literally took the words out of my mouth. Couldn’t have said it better myself.

"WINGnut--BOLThead"
Let's GO..Wings, Tigers, Lions, Wolverines (oh my!) & Bolts!!!! (RIP Cory Smoot aka Flattus Maximus of GWAR)

by Let's JOE WINGS-BOLTS on Jan 28, 2012 4:54 PM EST reply actions  

4 month reader, first time poster.

Hey everyone. I’ve been following Raw Charge for about 4 months now and want to post for the first time because I think my thoughts may for once be somewhat relevant. I’m from Tampa but moved to NYC after graduation from college and I think i can attest to the bandwagon idea. I’ve always been a fan of the Lightning but never followed them/the sport religiously. Moving up here I’ve found just how crazy people are about hockey (i.e. my Girlfriend has season tickets to the Devils, so i consider my self a Devils fan 78 games a year, also). Since I’ve been here I’ve finally treated the Lightning like they’re my own team (bought my first jersey, read this blog & others for latest news, etc.) Luckly there is a hockey bar on my street in Manhattan where i can watch every Lightning game. I’m upset that i didn’t find out how much fun Lightning hockey really was until now.

Maybe it’s because I’m naive, but this season has only made me more excited about the future the Lightning have the rest of the way. I see all of the potential this young team has and how we’ve fought through the adversity of injuries and what not. I, for one, have buckled my seatbelt on the bandwagon and don’t plan on getting off anytime soon.

by BoltsinNYC on Jan 30, 2012 1:26 PM EST reply actions   1 recs

good to hear

things are only getting better from here as we get rid of some bad contracts and let SY do what he does. Maybe not back next year, but nonetheless better.

Also, welcome!

If I cared more about my UNC side, I'd call myself "Tar Volon," and that'd be awesome.
Bolts, Canes, Preds (now in different conferences!). Canes mini-STH. Southern hockey solidarity
Rocky Top Talk

by Incipient_Senescence on Jan 30, 2012 2:01 PM EST up reply actions  

Yes, welcome, welcome

It’s good to hear that someone who doesn’t obsess about hockey like I do can see that there’s such great potential on this team. It validates my sense of reality.

R.I.P. Belak, Rypien, Boogaard, Lokomotiv.
"You don’t motivate people; you activate something in them that already exists." -Guy Boucher

by CAustin on Jan 30, 2012 2:04 PM EST up reply actions  

Welcome, and it doesn’t matter if you think what you’re writing is relevant – because it probably is. I watched my very first NHL game in the Meadowlands, so I’m hearing ya with the NJDs.

They’ve had a bad year with injuries, so the Lightning aren’t anywhere near where they could be. You might want to check out some of the AHL in the area. You can always watch the Norfolk Admirals in Connecticut – take the train out there and have a good time!

"You don't have enough talent to win on talent alone." -Herb Brooks

Raw Charge, an SBN Tampa Bay Lightning community. Follow me on Twitter: @dagmar27.

by Cassie McClellan on Jan 30, 2012 6:33 PM EST up reply actions  

A few days late, but a big +1 for this. Downyears can actually give me hope for the future too… I mean, excluding some recent past seasons where you had no clue just what ownership and management wanted to do as their next impulse, but I digress.

Typing is an adventure, and reading should be, too!
Sasquatch, Yeti, The Loch Ness Monster, Evan Oberg - legends that may or may not be real
Raw Charge.

by John Fontana on Feb 2, 2012 5:44 PM EST up reply actions  

Disappointed but still aboard

I really admire the job Yzerman, Brisebois and the rest of Management and the coaching staffs have done. If previous regimes had been in charge it would have been pretty lonely on the bandwagon, trust me. The young players at Norfolk are learning to win with good coaches, experienced on ice leaders and the opportunity to excel at the AHL level with a real possibility of a deep playoff run ahead of them. Previous GM’s may have ruined their development by bringing them up to fill holes on the Bolts before they were ready. I don’t see any easy solution to the Bolt’s goaltending woes as there are no sure options from within or through free agency but a trade may cost too much given you’re still likely to bring in a talented but unproven player at the NHL level. I still see a deep hole in the organization on the defensive end as we have no elite level defensive prospects. We keep drafting lower level prospects when we need top pairing guys. We may have to reach outside the organization for that talent unless the team ends up with a lottery pic in which case they may finally get one, albeit one that likely won’t be ready for 2-3 years.

Don in St Pete

by Don in St Pete on Jan 30, 2012 1:44 PM EST reply actions  

Norfolk’s looking pretty good right now, but they’re going to need younger guys to replace those players when they’re ready to come up. I could see Tokarski backing up Garon next year. Still need some more depth on defense, tho.

"You don't have enough talent to win on talent alone." -Herb Brooks

Raw Charge, an SBN Tampa Bay Lightning community. Follow me on Twitter: @dagmar27.

by Cassie McClellan on Jan 30, 2012 6:34 PM EST up reply actions  

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