Tag: small sample size

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Now is not the time to panic


The Lightning are going through a rough patch, but things aren't as dire as they may seem.

Small sample sizes: Spending more money gets you further in baseball's postseason.


Former Gaslamp Baller, apparent current AZ Snakepitter Drama, writes for his friends and acquaintances to read: ‎11 teams this season had a payroll of over $100 million dollars...only 2 are still...

Can Ike Davis sustain his hot start for the Mets?


The Mets' Ike Davis is off to a hot start in 2011. Can he sustain his early season success, or will his mid-season regression be a harsh one?

Monday Rockpile: The "Two Games Played" Overreactions


While we're all subject to worrying about our favorite players starting the season on a low note, it's 2 games, folks. They'll be fine.

And One Other Thing About Pat Burrell and Johnny Damon


There are a few reasons why people hate the Pat Burrell signing. Best I can tell, the most common are: - His performance in 2009 (while ignoring the years before) - The money - A...

Small Sample-Size awesomeness from Romo


Thanks to his 16 K/9 IP and stellar control, Sergio Romo currently has a negative FIP. The only possible interpretation is that Sergio Romo takes away runs already scored and turns them into outs.

When Is A Small Sample Size No Longer Small?


Eric Seidman at Fangraphs has a nice article summarizing research on when sample sizes become (somewhat) reliable for hitters. The research suggests that the following stats begin to stabilize with the corresponding number of plate appearances: 50 PA: Swing % 100 PA: Contact Rate 150 PA: Strikeout Rate, Line Drive Rate, Pitches/PA 200 PA: Walk Rate, Groundball Rate, GB/FB 250 PA: Flyball Rate 300 PA: Home Run Rate, HR/FB 500 PA: OBP, SLG, OPS, 1B Rate, Popup Rate 550 PA: ISO Did not stabilize by 650 PA (the cutoff): BA, BABIP The underlying work was done by a well respected analyst who goes by the handle Pizza Cutter at the Statistically Speaking blog. His research on pitchers is here.

An Early Look At J.J.


A look at J.J. Putz so far this year.

Breaking News: Pirates Shut-out Marlins 8-0


Pirates pitchers combine on 2-hitter Hanley Ramirez OPS'ing ~.730 Emilio Bonifacio 4 for his last 33 Only pitchers to beat Marlins this season: Livan Hernandez and Ross Ohlendorf

Notes Regarding the Giants' Hot Start


The seven games to start the season mean so, so, so much. Let's all start freaking out.

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