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Jonathan Drouin by the numbers

A lot of the narrative surrounding Jonathan Drouin and the recent public reveal of his desire to be traded is centered on his lack of performance or Jon Cooper not giving him a chance. While I don’t really want to get into the sides because I’m sure the truth is really somewhere in the middle, I do want to provide a closer look at some of the traditional and advanced statistics for Jonathan Drouin.

All stats are garnered from NHL.com, Hockey-Reference.com, and HockeyAnalysis.com. All rankings for statistics are based on the Top 14 forwards in 5v5 ice time for the Lightning. That is the original 13 players on the opening night roster plus Jonathan Marchessault. All of these forwards have at least 140 minutes of 5v5 ice time with the next player (Mike Blunden) coming in at 72 minutes.

Let’s start with the basic, traditional stats for Drouin.

19 games played, 2 goals (T12th), 6 assists (T9th), for 8 points (T11th) and a +1 rating (6th) plus 14:06 TOI per game (8th). Granted, he has missed some time due to injuries. If you base it on a per game basis for goals, assists, and points, he ranks 11th, T4th, T7th. He has 19 shots, or 1 per game, which puts him one shot ahead of last place Cedric Paquette who has had four games few and (on per game basis) puts him at the bottom of the 14 forwards. Drouin is also third best in penalties committed with only two minors to his name.

Now to move into some of the more advanced stats to see how his play has been at five on five. This is obviously an important factor to performance since most of a players time on ice in a game will be during even strength play.

If you are unfamiliar with advanced hockey stats, Second City Hockey has a nice write up about advanced stats.

6 of Drouin’s 8 total points came at 5v5, including both goals and three of his four assists at 5v5 were primary assists. He has 0.55 G/60 (9th) and 1.10 A/60 (2nd). He has a 50.4 CF% (11th), 53.27 CF60 (13th), 52.45 CA60 (8th). When measuring shots that make it on goal instead of Corsi, he has a 43.3 SF% (14th), 22.36 SF60 (14th), 29.26 SA60 (11th). However, he has a 62.5 GF% (3rd), 2.76 GF60 (1st), 1.66 GA60 (6th). He also has an on-ice save percentage of .9434% (6th) and an on-ice shooting percentage of 12.35% (1st) give him a 106.7 PDO (1st).

Drouin’s most common 5v5 forward partners have been Steven Stamkos (190:08 TOI), Ryan Callahan (105:27), Nikita Kucherov (33:58), Vladislav Namestnikov (27:37), J.T. Brown (23:36) and Cedric Paquette (23:13).

With Stamkos, Drouin has a 48.5 CF% and 75 GF%. When apart, Drouin has a 53.5 CF% and 50 GF% while Stamkos has a 51.9 CF% and 36.4 GF% while apart.

With Callahan, Drouin has a 53.2 CF% and 71.4 GF%. When apart, Drouin has a 47.2 CF% and 55.6 GF% while Callahan has a 48.7 CF% and 47.1 GF%.

When looking at the advanced statistics and how Drouin ranks within the team’s forwards, there are some conclusions that can be drawn. First, yes, he has gotten a chance to play with Stamkos. His 5v5 TOI with Stamkos and Callahan from the beginning of the year far exceeds his time with any other player. His Corsi and Goals For results with Stamkos and Callahan are a little bit mixed.

It’s also clear that Drouin has benefited from a bit of puck luck with his 106.7 PDO. His on-ice shooting percentage is 2.5% better than the next player on the list. The save percentage of the goalie behind him is in the top half of the forwards. But, when looking at Corsi and Shot rates against he and his linemates haven’t fared well giving up a large number of shots and a larger percentage of shots that are making it through on goal. That hasn’t been balanced as well on the other end of the ice by shots for, but the point and goal production has been there because of a higher shooting percentage.

Take from these stats what you will. Hopefully it will help clear up some misconceptions that are going around and give a more in-depth perspective of his performance than simply looking at points or trusting solely your eyes on his play. Advanced stats are not meant to replace in-person scouting, but to supplement them and help spot trends and outliers to allow you to go back and look for those issues with a more critical eye.

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