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Statistics and Analysis

For statistical discussion about the Tampa Bay Lightning and the NHL overall

Tampa Bay Lightning looking to avoid a late winter swoon

The Lightning likely want to improve on last year’s January results

Anthony Cirelli deserves more appreciation than he’s getting

The rookie center has been a force for the Lightning.

Around the East: Who’s ready for Tampa Bay vs. Toronto?

Goalies are showing just how important they are in the NHL.

Lightning forwards shooting percentages compared to past performance

Brayden Point is riding a high shooting percentage, but who else might be off the mark?

If Brayden Point isn’t on your first quarter Hart ballot, you’re messing up

Time for some NHL trophy takes.

Around the East: Pittsburgh falls far and makes a trade

and a slow week in Tampa Bay sees the Leafs hot on the Bolts tails.

Yanni Gourde and the conundrum of late-blooming stars

First Marchessault, now Gourde: how the NHL handles "late bloomers."

Around the East: Brayden Point is putting himself among the best in the league

Tampa and Toronto hit some injury issues, Ottawa and Montreal fall, while NYI gets scoring punch from the grinders.

Around the East: Tampa Bay Lightning back on top

But what are those pesky Montreal Canadiens doing up so high?

Around the East: the New Jersey Devils are the hottest team in the league

And the Tampa Bay Lightning are near the top of the league, never mind games played.

Yanni Gourde’s breakout season further complicates the Lightning’s cap situation

The Tampa Bay Lightning may have to let the offensively dynamic late-blooming forward test unrestricted free agency next July.

Quick Strikes: How does the John Gibson contract affect Andrei Vasilevskiy and the Tampa Bay Lightning?

The Tampa Bay Lightning have two seasons before Andrei Vasilevskiy gets paaaiiiiidddd

Ryan McDonagh’s contract introduces a new risk to the Lightning’s cap sheet

The Lightning re-signed Ryan McDonagh a year early to a risky long-term extension

Nikita Kucherov’s first five seasons put his early career among the best in NHL history

Nikita Kucherov is even better than you think.

Video shows Tampa Bay Lightning using layered defensive strategies

The Lightning have made some important defensive adjustments against the Bruins.

Tampa Bay Lightning’s most likely playoff opponents as of 3/25

The Lightning have five realistic potential playoff matchups.

The Lightning scoring against the NHL averages at each position

Looking at the Lightning’s scoring at each position compared to the NHL average.

Tampa Bay Lightning 10 game stats report: A struggling goalie and a Ranger reborn

The Lightning are playing well, with goaltending a notable weakness.

Signing Alex Barré-Boulet is a small but smart move to add prospect depth

The Lightning smartly signed high scoring Alex Barré-Boulet to an ELC.

The Lightning should be calling the Coyotes about Anthony Duclair

Anthony Duclair is reportedly available and the Lightning should be interested.

Comparing Tampa Bay Lightning’s Andrej Sustr and Slater Koekkoek so far this season

Here’s our analysis of whether Andrej Sustr or Slater Koekkoek should be getting more minutes this season.

Estimated shot assists for the Tampa Bay Lightning this season

A look at the Lightning’s offensive play this season

Advanced takeaways: A tale of two Tampa Bay Lightning teams

Advanced stats takeaways from the first three games for the Lightning.

Recapping the Lightning’s RFA and Projecting their Contracts

Jonathan Drouin, Slater Koekkoek, and the risk associated with undeveloped potential

The Tampa Bay Lightning’s recent big trade and expansion draft decisions highlight some interesting questions about value.

Tampa Bay Lightning 2016-2017 player evaluations: Forwards, part 2

With the season over, now is the time to review each players’ individual performance. This piece looks at the bottom half of the Lightning’s forward group.

Grading the 2016-17 Lightning: Forwards

Report card time for the Lightning’s 2016-17 forward corps!

Tampa Bay Lightning Team Report: A New (False) Hope

After playing somewhere between mediocre and poorly for most of the season, the Lightning are finally playing better, but it will likely be too little too late.

Tampa Bay Lightning Team Report

Numbers show that with injuries to the lineup, the Bolts are getting career performances out of Valtteri Filppula and Brian Boyle.

Measuring Lightning Players by Goals Above Replacement (GAR)

A quick look at the Lightning using the new GAR metric.

Weighted shots for Tampa Bay Lightning individual players and duos

A look at how frequently Lightning players contribute to dangerous shots individually and in tandem.

Looking at the Lightning through the lens of dangerous passing

Using the passing project to look at which Lightning players contribute to the most dangerous scoring opportunities.