Game #37 – New York Rangers (24-8-1) at Tampa Bay Lightning (17-14-5)
Time: 7:00 PM EST
Location: Amalie Arena
Broadcast/Streaming: BSSUN, ESPN+, Hulu, MSG2
Opponent’s Site: Blue Shirt Banter
Preview
The Lightning came out of the holiday break a bit flat, much to the disappointment of their head coach, Jon Cooper. He felt they were finally engaged in the third period, but couldn’t overcome the two-goal deficit they had built before losing to the Florida Panthers. They’ll need to get going from the get go as they host one of the best teams in the league in the New York Rangers.
How have the Rangers ascended to the top of the Eastern Conference? Excellent special teams with mediocre 5v5 play. Honestly, they are the Lightning with better goaltending and defense. The two teams have similar numbers at 5v5:
xGF/60 | GF/60 | xGA/60 | GA/60 | HDCA/60 | |
Rangers | 2.63 | 2.47 | 2.70 | 2.54 | 11.64 |
Lightning | 2.58 | 2.49 | 2.68 | 2.91 | 11.08 |
As you can see, the Lightning have the slight edge offensively, but New York has been better at keeping the pucks out of the net even if Tampa Bay’s underlying numbers are slightly better. It’s funny how close this game can be. Here are two teams with similar numbers yet wildly different records.
The goalie tandem of Igor Shesterkin and Jonathan Quick have been okay at 5v5 as they’ve posted 2.60 and 2.46 goals against averages respectively. At even strength they’re doing their job as Quick has a 1.9 GSAx and Shesterkin is at -1.1. Shorthanded, though, they have been dynamite as Shesterkin has posted a 6.8 GSAx and Quick is at 4.1. No wonder they are 4th in the league with an 86.0% success rate shorthanded.
Much like the Lightning, they aren’t shorthanded all that often as their 3.03 times shorthanded per game is 8th in the league. Of the 100 times they’ve been shorthanded, they’ve only allowed 14 goals (all at 4vs5). Their strength lies in their ability to keep the front of the net clean in front of their goaltenders as they have are allowing a league-low 17.81 high-danger chances against when shorthanded.
Offensively, Artemi Panarin is leading the way offensively with 46 points (19 goals, 27 assists) but Mike Zibanejad is the one with the hot hand recently. The Swedish center has an eight-game scoring streak with six multi-point games during that stretch.
Tampa Bay will have the advantage of rest as the Rangers are on the second-half of a back-to-back having played in Sunrise last night. However, it looks like they might be without the services of Mikhail Sergachev for at least one more game as assistant coach Jeff Blashill stated that the defenseman is day-to-day and probably out for the game.
Stats Match-up
Game #37 | Tampa Bay Lightning | New York Rangers |
Overall Record | 17-14-5 | 24-8-1 |
Home Record | 10-4-3 | 12-4-0 |
Road Record | 7-10-2 | 12-4-1 |
Goals For | 120 | 113 |
Goals Against | 123 | 90 |
xGF | 115.03 | 106.26 |
xGA | 116.98 | 105.08 |
Power Play | 29.6% | 31.1% |
Penalty Kill | 80.2% | 86.0% |
Lines
Tampa Bay Lightning Projected Lines
Forwards
Nick Paul – Brayden Point – Nikita Kucherov
Brandon Hagel – Anthony Cirelli – Steven Stamkos
Mikey Eyssimont – Tanner Jeannot – Austin Watson
Alex BarrĂ©-Boulet – Tyler Motte – Conor Sheary
Defenders
Victor Hedman – Nick Perbix
Haydn Fleury – Erik Cernak
Calvin de Haan – Darren Raddysh
Goalies
Andrei Vasilevskiy
Jonas Johansson
Lines based on practice yesterday per Chris Krenn. Luke Glendening was a maintenance day scratch.
New York Rangers Projected Lines
Forwards
Chris Kreider – Mika Zibanejad – Blake Wheeler
Artemi Panarin – Vincent Trocheck – Alexis Lafreniere
Will Cuylle – Nick Bonino – Jonny Brodzinski
Jimmy Vesey – Barclay Goodrow – Tyler Pitlick
Defenders
Ryan Lindgren – Adam Fox
K’Andre Miller – Jacob Trouba
Erik Gustafsson – Braden Schneider
Goalies
Igor Shesterkin
Jonathan Quick
Question of the Night
Can the Bolts stay out of the penalty box?
Shameless Product Plug of the Night
Ahh.. Remember this one? The whole “Igor’s Better!” chants from New York and then the “Vasy’s Better!” chants from the ultimately victorious Lightning crowd. Good times. Well, go ahead and remind yourself of those times by buying a t-shirt.